Happy Birthday to Me, or my blog anyway. Yesterday was the one year anniversary of its creation. It's been fun for me to go back & reread some of those early posts.
And it ain't over yet: the NH Recount is underway. This should be interesting...expensive, but interesting. Follow along with Blue Hampshire for day by day, ward by ward updates.
That amateur analysis I keep eluding to isn't really gelling in my head. I don't think Hillary won because of the last minute display of emotion (whether or not you believe it was sincere), and I don't think Obama lost because of racism. I believe the Clinton team was in a panic on the afternoon of the primary, and they pulled out every last known voter among their base because they had the resources to do it. They held on to the working class/establishment strong holds, the less-educated voters, and the "older" voters, all underestimated but very loyal voters.
Here's what I wrote to a friend on the morning after, embellished slightly for clarification: The Clinton/Shaheen Machine in New Hampshire just really brings me down. Maybe this is too much analysis, but what bums me about the machine is that they are the blue collar/establishment Dems--the older/elderly, the non-college educated, working class children of immigrants--The Memeres & Peperes of Manchester, Rochester, and Berlin. I should feel glad that the less educated, less well-off people like my parents have clout and feel empowered in our state. But of course, I don't. I feel like they are scared of loosing what symbolic power they have, so they aren't willing to take a risk on a non-establishment candidate.
I know Clinton has wider support than what I described above, but it was this base that made the difference in NH.
Seems like it always does...
...Now check out an actual professional analysis.
Thursday, January 17, 2008
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
What's Left Behind
Here's my little list of what I have to remember this NH Primary cycle, 2007-2008:
Bulletin Board: In my office, where I keep my button collection, I've added the "I'm In To Win" Hillary button, a huge Obama '08 one, and an assortment of Edwards', including one with a rainbow background, and one targeted at NH Educators.
Also above my desk I have the Bill Richardson 2008 All Star baseball card (on of my favorite pieces ever!), the Edwards Family Christmas Card, The GraniteRoots canvassing brochure (the two attached tree saplings are now growing in pots on my porch), and souvenir tickets to see Obama, Kucinich, and Dodd. There's also one postcard from the MTV/MySpace Presidential Dialogue with John Edwards. One press pass from the UNH GOP Fox Debates. AND, one original thank you note from Jack or Emma Claire Edwards.
On the bookshelf in my office, awaiting framing, is my large John Edwards sign, autographed.
On my bookshelf at home are two books: Stormy Weather by Dante Scala, not yet autographed, and Saving Graces, beautifully signed by the author, Elizabeth Edwards.
In my dresser: Two purple "I'm a Health Care Voter" t-shirts, one white John Edwards t-shirt, and one blue Carpenter's For Edwards long sleeved t-shirt.
In my cellar (we call them cellars here, not basements): Two Edwards lawn signs; the kids would not allow me to throw them away.
In the walls of my now remodeled kitchen: A variety of 2008 bumper stickers, including Hillary, Obama, Edwards, and a bunch of the purple Health Care Voter stickers.
In the Playroom: Four Priorities pie chart stickers, just tempting someone to stick them somewhere. And one Pie Chart flexible flying disk (I love collapsing it and popping it open).
On the back of my minivan: One traditional Edwards bumper sticker, one custom-made original "JRE=OMG" oval from Mike Alfoni, and one Priorities Pie Chart magnet.
And, lastly, my all-time favorite prize: On my wrist is my collectible Priorities Pie Chart Watch.
Of course, there are dozens of photos posted here and on Facebook that I will always treasure. Hell, it was Susie Whitlock who first demonstrated Facebook to me when she was on campus doing Advance work! But the best thing I can say I am walking away with is a greater understanding of and appreciation for the New Hampshire primary, and NH politics in general. A back-stage seat is better than the Front Row.
Thanks to everyone who has followed along with me, or physically tagged along (or were dragged along as the case may be). I had a blast. And to all the people I've met along the way, in person or virtually, thank you. Please, keep in touch!
Just three more years...
Bulletin Board: In my office, where I keep my button collection, I've added the "I'm In To Win" Hillary button, a huge Obama '08 one, and an assortment of Edwards', including one with a rainbow background, and one targeted at NH Educators.
Also above my desk I have the Bill Richardson 2008 All Star baseball card (on of my favorite pieces ever!), the Edwards Family Christmas Card, The GraniteRoots canvassing brochure (the two attached tree saplings are now growing in pots on my porch), and souvenir tickets to see Obama, Kucinich, and Dodd. There's also one postcard from the MTV/MySpace Presidential Dialogue with John Edwards. One press pass from the UNH GOP Fox Debates. AND, one original thank you note from Jack or Emma Claire Edwards.
On the bookshelf in my office, awaiting framing, is my large John Edwards sign, autographed.
On my bookshelf at home are two books: Stormy Weather by Dante Scala, not yet autographed, and Saving Graces, beautifully signed by the author, Elizabeth Edwards.
In my dresser: Two purple "I'm a Health Care Voter" t-shirts, one white John Edwards t-shirt, and one blue Carpenter's For Edwards long sleeved t-shirt.
In my cellar (we call them cellars here, not basements): Two Edwards lawn signs; the kids would not allow me to throw them away.
In the walls of my now remodeled kitchen: A variety of 2008 bumper stickers, including Hillary, Obama, Edwards, and a bunch of the purple Health Care Voter stickers.
In the Playroom: Four Priorities pie chart stickers, just tempting someone to stick them somewhere. And one Pie Chart flexible flying disk (I love collapsing it and popping it open).
On the back of my minivan: One traditional Edwards bumper sticker, one custom-made original "JRE=OMG" oval from Mike Alfoni, and one Priorities Pie Chart magnet.
And, lastly, my all-time favorite prize: On my wrist is my collectible Priorities Pie Chart Watch.
Of course, there are dozens of photos posted here and on Facebook that I will always treasure. Hell, it was Susie Whitlock who first demonstrated Facebook to me when she was on campus doing Advance work! But the best thing I can say I am walking away with is a greater understanding of and appreciation for the New Hampshire primary, and NH politics in general. A back-stage seat is better than the Front Row.
Thanks to everyone who has followed along with me, or physically tagged along (or were dragged along as the case may be). I had a blast. And to all the people I've met along the way, in person or virtually, thank you. Please, keep in touch!
Just three more years...
Thursday, January 10, 2008
PPD: Post Primary Depression
It feels a lot like the days after Christmas here now, when you take down the tree and decorations, and your house guests have all left. All the gifts are put away, and some of them you liked, some you didn't. You're stuck writing thank you notes anyway, smiling and saying "thank you." No more cards coming in the mail every day, no more holiday sales pitches on TV. Everyone goes back to work or school, and real life. The place seems empty and quiet. The quiet is good, but at first it takes some getting used to.
New Hampshire is cleaning up, and a whole bunch of people we've grown fond of are packing up and saying their good byes. I bet there are a lot of apartments for rent in Manchester now.
On Wednesday, I saw the former Deaniac and now-famous Edwards volunteer JJ driving around Dover, collecting Edwards signs from street corners and public places. He spotted my bumper sticker and started honking at me at the 5 way intersection, downtown. He's been an incredible and indefatigable motivator, volunteer, and supporter. He usually made appearances wearing is 2004 "I See Dean People" t-shirt; it's a great NH Primary souvenir. Now he can add some stand-up comedy to his resume. (I'm taking inventory of my own Primary Souvenirs and will list them later.)
The only signs left are those in front of private homes, like mine. Most in my neighborhood are still up. Last I checked, the big light-up Ron Paul sign was still up, too.
I drove by the Dover Edwards office and saw the cleaning up going on. The windows were cleaned off (we brought them window markers when they first moved it, and the kids and I loved driving by every day and seeing them in use). The sight broke my heart. But I didn't stop by to help. I'm sure the staff needs just to be alone with each other rather than having to smile & play nice for a supporter.
As far as my amateur analysis goes...that's still in the works. You might have to wait a bit for that.
New Hampshire is cleaning up, and a whole bunch of people we've grown fond of are packing up and saying their good byes. I bet there are a lot of apartments for rent in Manchester now.
On Wednesday, I saw the former Deaniac and now-famous Edwards volunteer JJ driving around Dover, collecting Edwards signs from street corners and public places. He spotted my bumper sticker and started honking at me at the 5 way intersection, downtown. He's been an incredible and indefatigable motivator, volunteer, and supporter. He usually made appearances wearing is 2004 "I See Dean People" t-shirt; it's a great NH Primary souvenir. Now he can add some stand-up comedy to his resume. (I'm taking inventory of my own Primary Souvenirs and will list them later.)
The only signs left are those in front of private homes, like mine. Most in my neighborhood are still up. Last I checked, the big light-up Ron Paul sign was still up, too.
I drove by the Dover Edwards office and saw the cleaning up going on. The windows were cleaned off (we brought them window markers when they first moved it, and the kids and I loved driving by every day and seeing them in use). The sight broke my heart. But I didn't stop by to help. I'm sure the staff needs just to be alone with each other rather than having to smile & play nice for a supporter.
As far as my amateur analysis goes...that's still in the works. You might have to wait a bit for that.
Now Serving!
Humble Pie: help yourself. There is plenty to go around.
First slice goes to me and my first real NH Primary campaign volunteering experience. I knew what we were up against from day one, and I'm sad that it didn't work out for Team Edwards in NH. No matter what's next, we can feel good about a respectful and respectable campaign. Edwards drove the agenda of this Democratic Primary, and put topics such as poverty, predatory lending, and NOLA into the campaign. I will be forever proud and grateful for that. But still humbled, I promise.
Next big serving goes to Clinton & Company. A 30 point lead can cause arrogance and untouchability, and some pretty annoying supporters. Iowa served up exactly what you all deserved. No matter what happens next, please remember that. Confidence is great, arrogance is unbecoming. You are still in the Primary, so quit acting like you've moved on to the general election already. A little humility might make your team a little more attractive. I expect you to set a better example for the youth voters; they won't be young forever!
Next slice: Team Obama. Ditto. NH can make you crazy; don't let it stop you, but by all means, play nice. It was wonderful to see youth so empowered but remember that you still need to respect your elders, respect your opponents, and if you are going to steal from others' stump speeches, please cite your sources. Also, please lay off anyone under the age of 30 who wasn't on your side. If we are all eventually going to come together after the convention, it will serve us well to show some empathy or at least, some class.
How you act in defeat shows just as much if not more about your character as how you act in victory.
First slice goes to me and my first real NH Primary campaign volunteering experience. I knew what we were up against from day one, and I'm sad that it didn't work out for Team Edwards in NH. No matter what's next, we can feel good about a respectful and respectable campaign. Edwards drove the agenda of this Democratic Primary, and put topics such as poverty, predatory lending, and NOLA into the campaign. I will be forever proud and grateful for that. But still humbled, I promise.
Next big serving goes to Clinton & Company. A 30 point lead can cause arrogance and untouchability, and some pretty annoying supporters. Iowa served up exactly what you all deserved. No matter what happens next, please remember that. Confidence is great, arrogance is unbecoming. You are still in the Primary, so quit acting like you've moved on to the general election already. A little humility might make your team a little more attractive. I expect you to set a better example for the youth voters; they won't be young forever!
Next slice: Team Obama. Ditto. NH can make you crazy; don't let it stop you, but by all means, play nice. It was wonderful to see youth so empowered but remember that you still need to respect your elders, respect your opponents, and if you are going to steal from others' stump speeches, please cite your sources. Also, please lay off anyone under the age of 30 who wasn't on your side. If we are all eventually going to come together after the convention, it will serve us well to show some empathy or at least, some class.
How you act in defeat shows just as much if not more about your character as how you act in victory.
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
New Hamshire, I salute YOU!
To whine about being tired would be an insult to the candidates, staffers, volunteers, and press who worked way harder and way longer than I did over the last 12+ months. So first & foremost, I salute you all.
Oh, one final word. When I explained to the kids that John Edwards didn't win, Griffin said "he can try again tomorrow!" I love that optimism, he seems to be right on track with the campaign's strategy, too. Then I explained how it is time for other states to have their vote, then he asked "why can't every day be voting day?" My answer: "Because Justin needs to sleep." 
Well, my perfect streak continues! Since I moved to NH in 1988, I have never been on the winning team for a NH Primary. I guess my problem is that I'm too educated or "elitist"...pick your word. ;-)
My Primary Heroes this morning are of course John & Elizabeth Edwards. Their parents, children, and your dedicated staff. I also salute all the bloggers I met at Blue Hampshire and the John Edwards blog. The non-profit friends who track and record and gave us endless freebies and stickers to keep the kids occupied--Priorities, The Iraq Campaign, Health Care Voters--thanks for putting these issues front & center in NH. (I am still waiting for my ice cream prize: 42881).
Brian Lawson, you rock! Come to UNH for your Master's Degree!! Seriously, what you created was something that shows how important and accessible politics in New Hampshire Primary, and why we all love it. Tell me, did you do this all from your dorm room at Saint A's? And, how were your grades last semester (I do, after all, still work in academic affairs.)
Hats off to Dante Scala, as always. I sat in my car & listened to your town by town analysis before dragging myself into the mobbed and too loud Edwards party at 10:30pm. (I am too old for this!!) And, it's your fault I missed my exit going home & and ended up going south instead of east in the fog. After we both catch up on sleep and kids and work, lunch before students return. My treat.
I'm still gathering my thoughts on the outcome. Maybe after a few more diet cokes, I will be coherent enough to put them into print. For now, here are a few photos of the final hours with Team Edwards, Strafford County, and the 2008 New Hampshire Primary.
Oh, one final word. When I explained to the kids that John Edwards didn't win, Griffin said "he can try again tomorrow!" I love that optimism, he seems to be right on track with the campaign's strategy, too. Then I explained how it is time for other states to have their vote, then he asked "why can't every day be voting day?" My answer: "Because Justin needs to sleep."
Thanks again, everyone! Just three more year!!
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Check In: 4:00pm
What a gorgeous day in NH today! Great weather, overwhelming turn out, high energy, and loads of civic engagement.
I just finished up my afternoon of phone banking (at least until the general election, maybe). I had the list of supporters and leaners again, so it was a pretty good way to end my time as a Primary Activist. I thanked a lot of people for voting, no matter who they voted for. I met some fun people from out-of-state, and hung with some very loyal supporters I met this summer & fall.
The energy in the Dover Edwards office was excellent. I took a few pics which I will upload tomorrow. Folks are tired to be sure, but they never waivered. As I left they were gearing up for the visability for the evening commute (I need to go get my kids, feed them, etc.), and last minute GOTV for the working folks.
I've decided to drive to Manchester, which means I won't be on-line again until tomorrow.
So we shall see...New Hampshire: What Say You?
I just finished up my afternoon of phone banking (at least until the general election, maybe). I had the list of supporters and leaners again, so it was a pretty good way to end my time as a Primary Activist. I thanked a lot of people for voting, no matter who they voted for. I met some fun people from out-of-state, and hung with some very loyal supporters I met this summer & fall.
The energy in the Dover Edwards office was excellent. I took a few pics which I will upload tomorrow. Folks are tired to be sure, but they never waivered. As I left they were gearing up for the visability for the evening commute (I need to go get my kids, feed them, etc.), and last minute GOTV for the working folks.
I've decided to drive to Manchester, which means I won't be on-line again until tomorrow.
So we shall see...New Hampshire: What Say You?
Noonish check in from Team Edwards, Dover NH:
Turn out is unbelievable all over NH. And the first results are in off course. Dixville Notch, home of The Balsam's Resort (grand hotel) has a tradition of opening their polls at mid-night. They are a small town & everyone votes at that time. Well, the big news from my perspective is this: NO votes for Hillary on the Dem side. That's right, Obama 1st, EDWARDS 2nd!! This is by no means representative, but it sure is symbolic.
Back to Dover. I took the kids voting around 9am. As much as Annie likes Obama, she switched back to Edwards this morning. On the way to the polls we saw a sign for Duncan Hunter. Griffin said, "Who's that? I've never seen him!!" Listening to them today made me so proud. They understand that voting is important, that our leaders values matter, and that being in New Hampshire means you pay attention to what's going on in our country. I always get a little choked up when I take them voting. Then they start hiding in the curtains, and it's back to my regular mom-voice.
One of the many things I LOVE about voting in NH is that we do NOT use any electronic voting devices. Paper & a writing implement!! It used to be pencil, and was a big deal (to me anyway) when we went to felt-tip marker. At one point we drew a line to complete an arrow pointing at the chosen candidate. Now we fill in the oval, SAT style. What a feeling of satisfaction. I love handing it in, and marching over to the booth to change my status back to UNDECLARED immediately.
The Edwards office, BTW, was buzzing all morning with hoards of canvassers & callers. I had the good fortune of being assigned a call list of strong supporters and leaners. My calls were quick & upbeat: THANKS! My big news now is this: An NH group call "Draft Al Gore NH" decided to endorse EDWARDS.
At this rate, I am now, at 1:28pm, seriously considering driving to Manch-Vegas tonight to attend the Edwards Party. Hopefully, it will be a celebration!!
OK, back to my duties. See you tonight. Watch for us on TV.
Turn out is unbelievable all over NH. And the first results are in off course. Dixville Notch, home of The Balsam's Resort (grand hotel) has a tradition of opening their polls at mid-night. They are a small town & everyone votes at that time. Well, the big news from my perspective is this: NO votes for Hillary on the Dem side. That's right, Obama 1st, EDWARDS 2nd!! This is by no means representative, but it sure is symbolic.
Back to Dover. I took the kids voting around 9am. As much as Annie likes Obama, she switched back to Edwards this morning. On the way to the polls we saw a sign for Duncan Hunter. Griffin said, "Who's that? I've never seen him!!" Listening to them today made me so proud. They understand that voting is important, that our leaders values matter, and that being in New Hampshire means you pay attention to what's going on in our country. I always get a little choked up when I take them voting. Then they start hiding in the curtains, and it's back to my regular mom-voice.
One of the many things I LOVE about voting in NH is that we do NOT use any electronic voting devices. Paper & a writing implement!! It used to be pencil, and was a big deal (to me anyway) when we went to felt-tip marker. At one point we drew a line to complete an arrow pointing at the chosen candidate. Now we fill in the oval, SAT style. What a feeling of satisfaction. I love handing it in, and marching over to the booth to change my status back to UNDECLARED immediately.
The Edwards office, BTW, was buzzing all morning with hoards of canvassers & callers. I had the good fortune of being assigned a call list of strong supporters and leaners. My calls were quick & upbeat: THANKS! My big news now is this: An NH group call "Draft Al Gore NH" decided to endorse EDWARDS.
At this rate, I am now, at 1:28pm, seriously considering driving to Manch-Vegas tonight to attend the Edwards Party. Hopefully, it will be a celebration!!
OK, back to my duties. See you tonight. Watch for us on TV.
Good Morning, New Hampshire!!
It's finally here, NH Primary Day 2008.
I'm already greiving! And polls just opened (it's about 8am).
No time for that! Up at 4:30am to get to the office at 5am. Let it officially be known that I found something I hate more than phone banking: canvassing. Too dark, too creepy, too invasive. But, boy is the Edwards team organized about it. Good think I had Laura with me for company.
One house on my list belonged to my friend, Jenn. She's got triplet boys, and I knew enough to tip toe to the door & do my drop unheard. I was scared that a neighborhood dog would get a sniff of me and I'd inadvertantly wake the kiddos. My fear of dogs and waking up babies put an end to that quickly. Phew.
We did what we could between 5:30am and 7am, which wasn't much, then I had to go back home to get the kids, and wake the visitors. Next, I'm taking the twins voting then off to school. Annie wants to wear her "I'm a health care voter" shirt today. And she said, as much as she likes saying and reading Obama, she'll still vote for Edwards.
I'll be checking in a few times today when I need a break.
GOTV!!
I'm already greiving! And polls just opened (it's about 8am).
No time for that! Up at 4:30am to get to the office at 5am. Let it officially be known that I found something I hate more than phone banking: canvassing. Too dark, too creepy, too invasive. But, boy is the Edwards team organized about it. Good think I had Laura with me for company.
One house on my list belonged to my friend, Jenn. She's got triplet boys, and I knew enough to tip toe to the door & do my drop unheard. I was scared that a neighborhood dog would get a sniff of me and I'd inadvertantly wake the kiddos. My fear of dogs and waking up babies put an end to that quickly. Phew.
We did what we could between 5:30am and 7am, which wasn't much, then I had to go back home to get the kids, and wake the visitors. Next, I'm taking the twins voting then off to school. Annie wants to wear her "I'm a health care voter" shirt today. And she said, as much as she likes saying and reading Obama, she'll still vote for Edwards.
I'll be checking in a few times today when I need a break.
GOTV!!
Monday, January 7, 2008
Twas The Night Before...
Quick update before bed: It's Primary Eve!!
I also had the good fortune to be introduced to Wallace & Bobbi Edwards tonight as well. Susie Whitlock was so kind in making sure I was introduced to them personally. What sweet people!!
10:30pm: I just got finished working at the Dover Elks Edwards Rally. It was packed, and great. Tons of undecided there who left pretty well decided. Edwards was on fire. He looked great. No one told him he's third in the polls; that man is driven. Only once could you tell he was tired. He repeated one story and sort of got into a loop. But he kept on firing away. Luckily, he also had Elizabeth, Cate, Susan Sarandon, Tim Robbins, and some actor from Desperate Housewives that I've never seen before.
The talk beforehand, however, was all about Hillary getting teary today in Portsmouth. Was it genuine?? Is it good or bad? Remember Muskey?? Will it hep humanize her, or will the spinners call her a weak female. I guess we'll know soon enough. Her campaign just does not know how to be anything but 30points ahead. I think some humble pie will do them all good. I'm pretty tired of the arrogance, and being asked, "when will you come over to our side?"
I also had the good fortune to be introduced to Wallace & Bobbi Edwards tonight as well. Susie Whitlock was so kind in making sure I was introduced to them personally. What sweet people!!As soon as I got home & got my PJs on, the office called & asked if I could take an overnight crasher or two, volunteers from out of state. I thought they'd send us a college kid who could crash on our couch. Instead, I got two older women, 50-something maybe. One is from NYC and/or Poland, the other from Maine. One promptly wiped out on own temporary ramp (still renovating the porch!). Ooops. Welcome to NH! They are settling in now, getting to know each other, and I'm trying to prepare them for our morning routine with twin five-year olds. This should be interesting.
I'm taking tomorrow off & giving myself over to Team Edwards. I was planning to do the 5am literature drop, so I guess we'll see about that.
Sunday Afternoon
Yesterday, Sunday, I did a short shift at the Edwards office in Dover. What a difference in energy and activity from just a few days ago. It was buzzing, and though the staff is tired, they were fired up as well.
First I learned that some of those New Yorkers I passed in my neighborhood where in deed canvassing for Edwards. One of them came down my little dead end street and spoke to a neighbor. I met a bunch of volunteers who travelled to NH from Maryland, NY, NJ, CT, and even one from Iowa!! It was weird to see so many new faces in the mix. In a good way, totally.
I happened to be there around dusk, which was good and bad. The good part was that canvassers were coming in for the evening, and I could hear their reports and see their smiling faces. Man, are they ever glad the weather has improved in NH!!
The bad part was that it was getting close to supper time, and New Hampshirites have had just about enough with the phone calls. I was quick every time to say that I was also a Dover resident, and "I know we're all getting a lot of calls right now but...." Unfortunately, I had the bad luck to have this guy on my call list. Sorry, if I had read this first, I would have skipped the call!
And now, the robo-calls have started, too. Kucinich first on Saturday, then yesterday one from a Pro-Choice activist for Hillary. I don't mind them, and usually I do listen out of curiosity and to see if they identify themselves properly or violate any laws. It's a hot topic in NH following the GOP phone jamming case in 2004. But I have to wonder: is there any real data out there to suggest that they are helpful? Most people I know feel that they annoy more then help no matter who they are from.
Most folks I know only complain quietly, for they know it will be over very soon. But more importantly, if we want to keep the New Hampshire Primary First in The Nation, there is a price to pay for it. And remember the next time your phone rings: it could be me or someone else like me, just trying to change the world, one little phone call at a time.
PS: If you want a prediction now, I just don't have an exact one. Edwards & Obama are splitting the usual "elite" camp while Clinton is really not doing much to firm up her usually tried & true "establishment" voters. Accusations are flying about who's playing dirty and who's not. However it goes, I know it's not the end, but only the beginning.
First I learned that some of those New Yorkers I passed in my neighborhood where in deed canvassing for Edwards. One of them came down my little dead end street and spoke to a neighbor. I met a bunch of volunteers who travelled to NH from Maryland, NY, NJ, CT, and even one from Iowa!! It was weird to see so many new faces in the mix. In a good way, totally.
I happened to be there around dusk, which was good and bad. The good part was that canvassers were coming in for the evening, and I could hear their reports and see their smiling faces. Man, are they ever glad the weather has improved in NH!!
The bad part was that it was getting close to supper time, and New Hampshirites have had just about enough with the phone calls. I was quick every time to say that I was also a Dover resident, and "I know we're all getting a lot of calls right now but...." Unfortunately, I had the bad luck to have this guy on my call list. Sorry, if I had read this first, I would have skipped the call!
And now, the robo-calls have started, too. Kucinich first on Saturday, then yesterday one from a Pro-Choice activist for Hillary. I don't mind them, and usually I do listen out of curiosity and to see if they identify themselves properly or violate any laws. It's a hot topic in NH following the GOP phone jamming case in 2004. But I have to wonder: is there any real data out there to suggest that they are helpful? Most people I know feel that they annoy more then help no matter who they are from.
Most folks I know only complain quietly, for they know it will be over very soon. But more importantly, if we want to keep the New Hampshire Primary First in The Nation, there is a price to pay for it. And remember the next time your phone rings: it could be me or someone else like me, just trying to change the world, one little phone call at a time.
PS: If you want a prediction now, I just don't have an exact one. Edwards & Obama are splitting the usual "elite" camp while Clinton is really not doing much to firm up her usually tried & true "establishment" voters. Accusations are flying about who's playing dirty and who's not. However it goes, I know it's not the end, but only the beginning.
Saturday, January 5, 2008
Invasion
Quick post in between Saturday errands and a trip to the library:
Holy Cow, Dover has been invaded! There are canvassers all over our little city. It started with a lost pair witih NY plates at the end of my little dead end street. I pointed them in the right direction, then told my son in the back seat that when I organized canvassing packets at the Edwards office last week, we included maps that I double checked and gave my locals-approval. So, we know it wasn't an Edwards team.
"How do you know they are canvassing, mommy, and what is canvassing anyway?" Well, Dover is a great city for walking, with awesome granite-curbed sidewalk (that are covered in huge piles of snow right now), but it's usual to see so many pairs of people, with be-stickered clipboards, walking around, without a dog or stroller. And, to be honest, it's not everyday that Dover has so many people of color strolling around.
Stay warm, canvassers. I hope you get to enjoy a little bit of NH while you are here.
We're off to the library now...maybe more later!
Holy Cow, Dover has been invaded! There are canvassers all over our little city. It started with a lost pair witih NY plates at the end of my little dead end street. I pointed them in the right direction, then told my son in the back seat that when I organized canvassing packets at the Edwards office last week, we included maps that I double checked and gave my locals-approval. So, we know it wasn't an Edwards team.
"How do you know they are canvassing, mommy, and what is canvassing anyway?" Well, Dover is a great city for walking, with awesome granite-curbed sidewalk (that are covered in huge piles of snow right now), but it's usual to see so many pairs of people, with be-stickered clipboards, walking around, without a dog or stroller. And, to be honest, it's not everyday that Dover has so many people of color strolling around.
Stay warm, canvassers. I hope you get to enjoy a little bit of NH while you are here.
We're off to the library now...maybe more later!
Friday, January 4, 2008
Underwhelmed
I'm in shock. Since 1992, I have been a very loyal Bill Clinton supporter and #1 fan. Through thick and thin. Hell & high water. What happened today at UNH shook me to my core.
He bored me. He rambled. He failed to impress me.
At 2pm I lined up with the other faculty, staff, community members, and occasional students to see the former President at UNH. We were seated in the Granite State Room by 2:40ish, and waited patiently, making polite political conversation. The room did NOT fill. I eavesdropped on various other nearby conversations, the most striking being the woman seated behind me saying to her friends: "Look at her staff, they look like someone just beat them up." To which her friend replied, "Someone did." So I looked around the room, and she was right. The person I saw, working the room and giving out stickers, looked as if her boyfriend had just dumped her and she was trying to put on a good face. And they all looked that way. It was sad. And that was the start of the energy drain.
First up was Katie Wheeler, giving the intro. I should have counted how many times she used the word "change" in her intro; it must have been at least a dozen. It sounded a little desperate to me. Then she introduced her "favorite president, so far."
Bill Clinton was dressed casually, in black jeans with a sweater vest under his suit jacket. He looked tired. He wore a Hillary button on his lapel. He went into his reasons why Hillary would make a great president. More on the experience. Didn't anyone tell him that this line isn't working? Of course he gave it a spin, how her experience is in bringing about change.
Worst of all was the response from the crowd. Little or no applause to his big lines. Polite but quiet laughter at jokes. The crowd was clearly there to see & hear him, not as support for his wife. He started storytelling, and rambling. At one point, he referred to the Bill Clinton tax cuts, when he meant the George Bush tax cuts to the wealthy. Little things like that. I almost thought he was drunk. And, for once, I was wishing for it to be over.
He took some questions, even the questioners had no spark. I couldn't get out of there fast enough. I didn't even try to get a handshake, which I could have easily gotten because the crowd thinned fast leaving the rope line not as mobbed as usual.
It was a downer, and I'm having trouble shaking that vibe. I feel sorry for him.
He bored me. He rambled. He failed to impress me.
At 2pm I lined up with the other faculty, staff, community members, and occasional students to see the former President at UNH. We were seated in the Granite State Room by 2:40ish, and waited patiently, making polite political conversation. The room did NOT fill. I eavesdropped on various other nearby conversations, the most striking being the woman seated behind me saying to her friends: "Look at her staff, they look like someone just beat them up." To which her friend replied, "Someone did." So I looked around the room, and she was right. The person I saw, working the room and giving out stickers, looked as if her boyfriend had just dumped her and she was trying to put on a good face. And they all looked that way. It was sad. And that was the start of the energy drain.
First up was Katie Wheeler, giving the intro. I should have counted how many times she used the word "change" in her intro; it must have been at least a dozen. It sounded a little desperate to me. Then she introduced her "favorite president, so far."
Bill Clinton was dressed casually, in black jeans with a sweater vest under his suit jacket. He looked tired. He wore a Hillary button on his lapel. He went into his reasons why Hillary would make a great president. More on the experience. Didn't anyone tell him that this line isn't working? Of course he gave it a spin, how her experience is in bringing about change.
Worst of all was the response from the crowd. Little or no applause to his big lines. Polite but quiet laughter at jokes. The crowd was clearly there to see & hear him, not as support for his wife. He started storytelling, and rambling. At one point, he referred to the Bill Clinton tax cuts, when he meant the George Bush tax cuts to the wealthy. Little things like that. I almost thought he was drunk. And, for once, I was wishing for it to be over.
He took some questions, even the questioners had no spark. I couldn't get out of there fast enough. I didn't even try to get a handshake, which I could have easily gotten because the crowd thinned fast leaving the rope line not as mobbed as usual.
It was a downer, and I'm having trouble shaking that vibe. I feel sorry for him.
NH Rising
Before I delve into Iowa Caucus outcomes, I do want to clarify yesterday's post, and admit that I am not always 100% accurate on my memory. So don't quote me exactly. As I was driving by the Dover Elks today on my way to work, I was recalling 1992. Was it Primary Eve or General Election Eve that Bill was there?? What I remember most clearly is the soundbite in a hoarse voice: "I'll work my heart out for you." That spoke directly to me and all my friends gathered in my apartment for my first election party, and brough us to tears. And it's mostly that charisma that makes me excited to see Bill today at UNH.
OK, on to Iowa for a minute. I was half right, I guess. And an optimist such as myself would conclude that my glass is half full. IMHO, Hillary did tank. That's an important victory for a lot of people--the early coronation and inevitability needed to end and the good people of Iowa did that for us. Thank you!!
Of course I am bummed that it was Obama over Edwards for the lead. But I am very pleased with a second place showing. Edwards is not out, and hopefully the MSM will start covering him like the top tier candidate he is. I still have my doubts about Obama connecting to the working class voters in the Granite State. And I predict Edwards will carry the north country.
Lest I forget: the Republicans. We all know by now that NH does not share the religious fervor that midwesterners do. We're more private about that, and also that Libertarian streak in our Republican Party is loud & clear. So, it isn't going out on a limb when I predict a Huckabee crash. It's McCain vs. Romney, and I think I'm leaning toward a win for McCain. Ron Paul will be in the top three, for sure. I think...
Back to my drive in this morning: more mushrooms popping up overnight. In the 9 miles between home & UNH, there were too many new signs to count, all stuck haphazardly into snow banks. First Edwards' NH Rising signs, then Obama, then Hillary. And a whole bunch of new Kucinich too. When I drove past the Hillary Regional HQ, they were loading some XL signs into an SUV.
So, all eyes are on NH now. Hi!! Thanks for tuning in.
OK, on to Iowa for a minute. I was half right, I guess. And an optimist such as myself would conclude that my glass is half full. IMHO, Hillary did tank. That's an important victory for a lot of people--the early coronation and inevitability needed to end and the good people of Iowa did that for us. Thank you!!
Of course I am bummed that it was Obama over Edwards for the lead. But I am very pleased with a second place showing. Edwards is not out, and hopefully the MSM will start covering him like the top tier candidate he is. I still have my doubts about Obama connecting to the working class voters in the Granite State. And I predict Edwards will carry the north country.
Lest I forget: the Republicans. We all know by now that NH does not share the religious fervor that midwesterners do. We're more private about that, and also that Libertarian streak in our Republican Party is loud & clear. So, it isn't going out on a limb when I predict a Huckabee crash. It's McCain vs. Romney, and I think I'm leaning toward a win for McCain. Ron Paul will be in the top three, for sure. I think...
Back to my drive in this morning: more mushrooms popping up overnight. In the 9 miles between home & UNH, there were too many new signs to count, all stuck haphazardly into snow banks. First Edwards' NH Rising signs, then Obama, then Hillary. And a whole bunch of new Kucinich too. When I drove past the Hillary Regional HQ, they were loading some XL signs into an SUV.
So, all eyes are on NH now. Hi!! Thanks for tuning in.
Thursday, January 3, 2008
My Iowa Predictions
It occurred to me while cleaning up from dinner that I hadn't yet vocalized my Iowa predictions! I like to do this out loud, to go on record rather than later saying "I knew it!" So, here goes, quickly, before any caucus results are out...
Hillary is crashing fast. The blogs and news sites are full of her attempts to lower expectations. And, after all, it's all about beating expectations. Being that far ahead, that far in advance, is/was more of a curse than blessing. Who can maintain that kind of lead? There is/was no place to go but down. Really, it wasn't an enviable position. Now her supporters don't know what to do with themselves. How do you act as a 2nd place or 3rd place candidate? Arrogance and inevitability don't work anymore.
I do predict an Edwards surprise victory. He's spend the last four years studying the Iowa system like it was one of his juries, and winning them over slowly and steadily. All along, his staff repeatedly said "we are right where we want to be, don't worry," and now I see why. He may not have the money or numbers of paid staff, but his attention to smaller and rural precincts is/was brilliant. It's a tortoise & hare thing. And,he's got more unions there and they will come out for him. He targeted not numbers, but the influential community members that locals trust.
Obama, IMHO, is relying too heavily on the youth vote. They are hopeful but unreliable, but also, inexperienced at caucusing and pursuading their neighbors. He came to the populist message too little, too late.
So, either I will have a smug "told you so" post tomorrow, or I will be making up excuses. Or maybe I'll just turn the page and happily focus on New Hampshire for the next five days (and Bill at 3pm in the MUB, not 2pm, Friday)!
Whatever happens just remember that it's not about winning as much as who exceeds expectations of the media and the general public. So, if the MSM has been ignoring you for 12 months, you have no where to go but UP!
Hillary is crashing fast. The blogs and news sites are full of her attempts to lower expectations. And, after all, it's all about beating expectations. Being that far ahead, that far in advance, is/was more of a curse than blessing. Who can maintain that kind of lead? There is/was no place to go but down. Really, it wasn't an enviable position. Now her supporters don't know what to do with themselves. How do you act as a 2nd place or 3rd place candidate? Arrogance and inevitability don't work anymore.
I do predict an Edwards surprise victory. He's spend the last four years studying the Iowa system like it was one of his juries, and winning them over slowly and steadily. All along, his staff repeatedly said "we are right where we want to be, don't worry," and now I see why. He may not have the money or numbers of paid staff, but his attention to smaller and rural precincts is/was brilliant. It's a tortoise & hare thing. And,he's got more unions there and they will come out for him. He targeted not numbers, but the influential community members that locals trust.
Obama, IMHO, is relying too heavily on the youth vote. They are hopeful but unreliable, but also, inexperienced at caucusing and pursuading their neighbors. He came to the populist message too little, too late.
So, either I will have a smug "told you so" post tomorrow, or I will be making up excuses. Or maybe I'll just turn the page and happily focus on New Hampshire for the next five days (and Bill at 3pm in the MUB, not 2pm, Friday)!
Whatever happens just remember that it's not about winning as much as who exceeds expectations of the media and the general public. So, if the MSM has been ignoring you for 12 months, you have no where to go but UP!
Iowa Today, NH Tomorrow!
It's caucus day in Iowa, and all eyes may be on Iowa for the moment, but folks are gearing up in New Hampshire for the collective change of focus eastward tomorrow (or if you are covering John McCain, tonight).
A student working in the MUB emailed me first thing this morning with news of Bill Clinton coming to UNH tomorrow (Friday 1/04/08), 4pm in the MUB Granite State Room. The only confirmation I found was an internal MUB scheduling site, but that's enough for me.
I do love Bill. I still kick myself for missing the 1992 event at the Dover Elks Club, where he made the now-famous comment on the night before the NH Primary: "I'll be with you until the last dog dies." I've been secretly waiting for another candidate, anyone, to come to the Elks just so I can be in that space. And, guess who is coming?? Yes, Edwards. And yes, on Primary Eve!! What a good omen, in my opinion. Team Hillary should have grabbed the space and played up the connection as she did when she came to Dover High in the spring. Her loss, my gain. Here's what I know: Monday, January 7, 2008 - 7:15pm, Dover Rally with John Edwards @ Elks Lodge 184282 Durham Road, Dover, NH. RSVP http://www.johnedwards.com/nh/events/rsvp/20080107-dover
On NH Prez Watch, I found this teaser, with no dates or details:
What else? Things are really picking up in the Granite State. And isn't it nice that GraniteProf is back from grading final exams, and ready to blog as well as field all our questions & media calls.
And, lastly, I'm taking suggestions as to how/where to spend NH Primary Night?? As for the day, I offered it to Justin & Mike, and they have me booked, starting at 5:30am. I've got to make the most of it...the high has to last me another 2-3 years!
A student working in the MUB emailed me first thing this morning with news of Bill Clinton coming to UNH tomorrow (Friday 1/04/08), 4pm in the MUB Granite State Room. The only confirmation I found was an internal MUB scheduling site, but that's enough for me.
I do love Bill. I still kick myself for missing the 1992 event at the Dover Elks Club, where he made the now-famous comment on the night before the NH Primary: "I'll be with you until the last dog dies." I've been secretly waiting for another candidate, anyone, to come to the Elks just so I can be in that space. And, guess who is coming?? Yes, Edwards. And yes, on Primary Eve!! What a good omen, in my opinion. Team Hillary should have grabbed the space and played up the connection as she did when she came to Dover High in the spring. Her loss, my gain. Here's what I know: Monday, January 7, 2008 - 7:15pm, Dover Rally with John Edwards @ Elks Lodge 184282 Durham Road, Dover, NH. RSVP http://www.johnedwards.com/nh/events/rsvp/20080107-dover
On NH Prez Watch, I found this teaser, with no dates or details:
From The Edwards Campaign: The following Vermont leaders support John Edwards, will work to ensure he wins the Vermont primary and will also travel to NH on January 5th to hand out free ice cream and help build campaign momentum:
-Former Vermont State Senator and 2006 Lt. Governor Candidate Matt Dunne
-Vermont State Senate Majority Leader John Campbell
-Ben & Jerry’s co-founder Ben Cohen
-Vermont attorney and activist Kevin Leahy
What else? Things are really picking up in the Granite State. And isn't it nice that GraniteProf is back from grading final exams, and ready to blog as well as field all our questions & media calls.
And, lastly, I'm taking suggestions as to how/where to spend NH Primary Night?? As for the day, I offered it to Justin & Mike, and they have me booked, starting at 5:30am. I've got to make the most of it...the high has to last me another 2-3 years!
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